Serie A · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 15:00
Cagliari vs Frosinone Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Cagliari · Frosinone
Full time 1-0 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Cagliari vs Frosinone on Saturday (7 November, 15:00).
The situation: Cagliari have gone 5 games without a win – Frosinone are chasing Europe
Frosinone are in position 6 with 20 points, ahead of the hosts (13 points, position 12). Goal difference: 9-15 for Cagliari, 24-14 for Frosinone. Cagliari are 4 points off a Conference League place. Frosinone are just one point off a Europa League place.
Form guide Cagliari: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Lecce (1-0). There was also a defeat against Bologna (0-2). Against Juventus (1-1) they could only draw. Cagliari picked up 1 win from their last 4 home games, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Form guide Frosinone: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Frosinone recently played 4-4 at Atalanta, 0-3 at Napoli and 1-1 at Genoa. Record in the last 4 away games: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 defeat, 8-8 goals. Frosinone scored in 3 of those 4 games.
Cagliari at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Frosinone away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Cagliari vs Frosinone
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Cagliari are without: Adam Obert (suspended), Alieu Fadera (thigh injury), Riyad Idrissi (cruciate ligament injury), Harry Winks (back problems), Yerry Mina (thigh injury).
Frosinone are without: Antonio Raimondo (ankle injury), Aleksa Terzić (injury), Florian Grillitsch (adductor injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Serie A: Serie A goalscorer tips.
Serie A table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Como | 10 | 18-8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 21-12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 24-14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 13-10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 17-13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 14-16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 10-14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 9-15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 16-20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 11-21 | 9 |
Cagliari vs Frosinone odds
Cagliari go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.75, a draw 3.40 and a Frosinone win 4.50. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.42.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari to win | 1.75 | 53% | 45% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27% | 26% |
| Frosinone to win | 4.50 | 20% | 29% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.70 | 80% | 71% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.30 | 47% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 85% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 66% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 34% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 44% | 39% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.67 | 56% | 61% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Cagliari vs Frosinone
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.67. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 61%, while the odds imply only 56%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 0 of Cagliari’s last 4 home games had three or more goals.
Against
- Away from home, Frosinone saw three or more goals in 3 of 4 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 8 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.67 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Cagliari vs Frosinone
When do Cagliari play Frosinone?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 15:00 (Serie A).
Who are the favourites in Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Cagliari are favourites: a home win pays 1.75, a Frosinone win 4.50.
What is the tip for Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.67. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Cagliari and Frosinone go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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