Eliteserien · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 17:00
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Lillestrøm · Aalesund
Full time 3-2 · Tip “Over 2.5 goals” won
Odds as of: Su 08/11 · 16:26 · Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Sunday (8 November, 17:00), Lillestrøm face Aalesund in front of their own fans.
The situation: Lillestrøm have won 3 games in a row – Aalesund are in a relegation battle
After 25 games, Lillestrøm are in position 5 with 42 points. Aalesund have collected 24 points and sit in position 14. Goal difference: 36-33 for Lillestrøm, 43-57 for Aalesund. Lillestrøm are just one point off a European competition place. Aalesund are just one point above the relegation zone.
Form guide Lillestrøm: Inconsistent at home
Recent home wins came against Brann (3-2) and Vålerenga (2-0). Against Molde (2-2) they could only draw. Lillestrøm picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
Form guide Aalesund: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Aalesund recently played 1-2 at Sarpsborg, 4-1 at Kristiansund and 2-1 at Molde. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats, 9-8 goals. Aalesund scored in every one of those games.
Lillestrøm at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Aalesund away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Goals expected
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-3 to Lillestrom (Aalesund vs Lillestrom, 15/03/2026).
- 15/03/2026 Aalesund – Lillestrom 1-3
Injuries and suspensions
Lillestrøm are without: Felix Va (suspended), Daniel Bassi (injury), Espen Garnaas (knee injury).
Aalesund are without: M. Haagensen Reed (injury), Simen Haram (arm or hand injury), Olafur Gudmundsson (suspended), Haakon Butli Hammer (injury), Janus Seehusen (injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Eliteserien table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rosenborg | 26 | 53-32 | 46 |
| 4 | Molde | 25 | 59-39 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 36-33 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 25 | 43-38 | 40 |
| 7 | Brann | 25 | 45-42 | 32 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 26-34 | 27 |
| 13 | Hamarkameratene | 25 | 35-53 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 43-57 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 25 | 29-51 | 23 |
| 16 | Start | 26 | 27-59 | 19 |
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund odds
Lillestrøm go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.67, a draw 4.50 and a Aalesund win 3.60. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.27.
Odds as of: Su 08/11 · 16:26
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm to win | 1.67 | 54% | 52% |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20% | 21% |
| Aalesund to win | 3.60 | 25% | 27% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.17 | 75% | 73% |
| Double chance X2 | 2.00 | 46% | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.05 | 87% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.27 | 72% | 69% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 28% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.75 | 52% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.90 | 48% | 52% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Lillestrøm vs Aalesund
In short: We are backing Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.28. Our score prediction: 2-1. We put the chance at around 69%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- 3 of Lillestrøm’s last 5 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Aalesund away it was 5 of 5.
Against
- Lillestrøm are without 3 players.
- Aalesund are missing 5 players.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.28 · Prediction 2-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Lillestrøm vs Aalesund
When do Lillestrøm play Aalesund?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 17:00 (Eliteserien).
Who are the favourites in Lillestrøm vs Aalesund?
Lillestrøm are favourites: a home win pays 1.67, a Aalesund win 3.60.
What is the tip for Lillestrøm vs Aalesund?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.28. We expect a 2-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Lillestrøm and Aalesund go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-3 to Lillestrom (Aalesund vs Lillestrom, 15/03/2026).
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