Eredivisie · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 14:30
Twente vs Ajax Prediction, Tips & Odds
Odds as of: Su 08/11 · 16:20 · Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
5 home games, 4 wins, 10-5 goals. Twente are hard to beat at home. On Sunday (8 November, 14:30), Ajax visit.
The situation: Twente are chasing Europe – Ajax have won 3 games in a row
After 11 games, Twente are in position 4 with 23 points. Ajax have collected 24 points and sit in position 2. Goal difference: 28-10 for Twente, 30-13 for Ajax. Twente are just one point off a CL qualifying place. Ajax are just one point off a Champions League place.
Form guide Twente: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against PSV (3-2) and ADO Den Haag (2-0). There was also a defeat against Utrecht (1-2). Twente picked up 4 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Form guide Ajax: Strong away too
On the road, Ajax recently played 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam, 5-2 at Groningen and 5-1 at Fortuna Sittard. Record in the last 5 away games: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats, 18-4 goals. Ajax scored in every one of those games.
Twente at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Ajax away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Twente vs Ajax
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Twente are without: Stav Lemkin (abdominal injury), Filip Thorvaldsen (injury), Max Bruns (injury), Lars Unnerstall (injury).
Ajax are without: Simon Adingra (injury), Viktor Tsygankov (injury), Julian Brandt (injury), Caio Henrique (thigh injury), Kasper Dolberg (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Eredivisie: Eredivisie goalscorer tips.
Eredivisie table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 33-12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 30-13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV | 11 | 35-13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 28-10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 20-13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sittard | 12 | 20-20 | 20 |
Twente vs Ajax odds
Despite playing away, Ajax are clear favourites with the bookmakers. An away win pays just 1.18, a draw 4.70, a home win 35.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40.
Odds as of: Su 08/11 · 16:20
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente to win | 35.00 | 3% | 12% |
| Draw | 4.70 | 20% | 20% |
| Ajax to win | 1.18 | 78% | 68% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.35 | 22% | 32% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.65 | 97% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 85% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 67% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.85 | 33% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.97 | 47% | 47% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.75 | 53% | 53% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Twente vs Ajax
In short: We are backing Double chance X2 at odds of 1.50. Our score prediction: 1-2. We put the chance at around 64%, while the odds imply only 57%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Ajax won 5 of their last 5 away games.
Against
- Twente won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- Ajax are missing 5 players.
Tip: Double chance X2 · Odds 1.50 · Prediction 1-2 · Risk medium
FAQ: Twente vs Ajax
When do Twente play Ajax?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 14:30 (Eredivisie).
Who are the favourites in Twente vs Ajax?
Ajax are clear favourites: an away win pays 1.18, a home win 35.00.
What is the tip for Twente vs Ajax?
Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.50. We expect a 1-2. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Twente and Ajax go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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