Championship · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 16:00
Cardiff City vs Burnley Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Cardiff City · Burnley
Full time 5-4 · Tip “Over 2.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 16:00), Cardiff City face Burnley in front of their own fans.
The situation: Cardiff City are in a relegation battle – Burnley have gone 5 games without a win
Cardiff City are in position 18 with 15 points, Burnley follow in position 22 with 10 points. Goal difference: 22-23 for Cardiff City, 18-26 for Burnley. Burnley are currently in the relegation zone.
Form guide Cardiff City: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Birmingham City (1-0) and Watford (5-1). Against West Ham United (3-3) they could only draw. Cardiff City picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide Burnley: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Burnley recently played 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers, 1-4 at Lincoln City and 4-0 at Watford. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats, 8-9 goals. Burnley scored in every one of those games.
Cardiff City at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Burnley away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Cardiff City vs Burnley
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Cardiff City are without: Dylan Lawlor (knee injury).
Burnley are without: Hannibal (thigh injury), Bashir Humphreys (knee injury), Jacob Bruun Larsen (fracture).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Championship: Championship goalscorer tips.
Championship table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 17-19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton Wanderers | 15 | 20-29 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 14 | 22-23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 14-24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 13-23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton Athletic | 14 | 11-22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 18-26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County | 15 | 14-30 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End | 14 | 12-30 | 5 |
Cardiff City vs Burnley odds
Cardiff City go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.75, a draw 4.00 and a Burnley win 3.60. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City to win | 1.75 | 52% | 55% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23% | 21% |
| Burnley to win | 3.60 | 25% | 24% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.20 | 75% | 76% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.83 | 48% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 83% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 65% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 35% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.00 | 46% | 47% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.67 | 54% | 53% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Cardiff City vs Burnley
In short: We are backing Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.40. Our score prediction: 2-1. We put the chance at around 67%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- 3 of Cardiff City’s last 5 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Burnley away it was 3 of 5.
Against
- Cardiff City are without 1 player.
- Burnley are missing 3 players.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.40 · Prediction 2-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Cardiff City vs Burnley
When do Cardiff City play Burnley?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 16:00 (Championship).
Who are the favourites in Cardiff City vs Burnley?
Cardiff City are favourites: a home win pays 1.75, a Burnley win 3.60.
What is the tip for Cardiff City vs Burnley?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.40. We expect a 2-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Cardiff City and Burnley go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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