MLS · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 22:00
DC United vs New York City FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: DC United · New York City FC
Full time 0-1 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 22:00), DC United face New York City in front of their own fans.
The situation: DC United have gone 5 games without a win – New York City want to stay near the top
After 33 games, DC United are in position 28 with 33 points. New York City have collected 39 points and sit in position 22. Goal difference: 39-60 for DC United, 48-45 for New York City. DC United are 19 points off a wildcard (per conference) place. New York City are 10 points off a wildcard (per conference) place.
Form guide DC United: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat New York Red Bulls (2-1). There were also defeats against Cincinnati (0-2) and Charlotte (1-2). DC United picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide New York City: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, New York City recently played 2-2 at Orlando City, 0-2 at Inter Miami and 1-2 at Chicago Fire. Record in the last 5 away games: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats, 7-8 goals. New York City scored in 4 of those 5 games.
DC United at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
New York City away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Rarely many goals
Record in the last 3 meetings: 2 wins for DC United, no wins for New York City, 1 draw. There were only 1.7 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-2 (New York City vs DC United, 03/05/2026).
- 03/05/2026 New York City – DC United 0-2
- 30/08/2025 New York City – DC United 1-2
- 14/05/2025 DC United – New York City 0-0
Injuries and suspensions
DC United are without: Tai Baribo (hip injury), Louis Munteanu (injury), Hosei Kijima (injury), Gabriel Segal (ankle injury).
New York City are without: Alonso Martínez (leg injury), Kai Trewin (ankle injury), Drew Baiera (cruciate ligament injury), Arnau Farnós (leg injury), Maxi Moralez (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
MLS table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 51-51 | 42 |
| 21 | Minnesota United | 33 | 53-57 | 41 |
| 22 | New York City FC | 33 | 48-45 | 39 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 33 | 51-63 | 39 |
| 24 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 45-62 | 39 |
| 26 | Austin FC | 33 | 42-63 | 34 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 33 | 43-57 | 33 |
| 28 | DC United | 33 | 39-60 | 33 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 33 | 37-67 | 26 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 39-81 | 23 |
DC United vs New York City odds
New York City are slight favourites: an away win pays 2.10, a draw 3.40, a home win 3.10. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.67.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United to win | 3.10 | 30% | 30% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27% | 27% |
| New York City to win | 2.10 | 44% | 43% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.62 | 56% | 57% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.35 | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 76% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 54% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 46% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 33% | 30% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.37 | 67% | 70% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: DC United vs New York City
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.37. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 70%, while the odds imply only 67%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Head-to-head meetings have mostly been low-scoring (1 of 3 with three or more goals).
Against
- At home, DC United saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.
- Away from home, New York City saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.37 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: DC United vs New York City
When do DC United play New York City?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 22:00 (MLS).
Who are the favourites in DC United vs New York City?
New York City are favourites: an away win pays 2.10, a home win 3.10.
What is the tip for DC United vs New York City?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.37. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between DC United and New York City go?
Record in the last 3 meetings: 2 wins for DC United, no wins for New York City, 1 draw. There were only 1.7 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-2 (New York City vs DC United, 03/05/2026).
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