Premier League · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 16:00
Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Fulham · Newcastle
Full time 1-1 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 16:00), Fulham face Newcastle in front of their own fans.
The situation: Fulham are in a relegation battle – Newcastle are chasing Europe
After 9 games, Fulham are in position 15 with 9 points. Newcastle have collected 11 points and sit in position 13. Goal difference: 9-11 for Fulham, 12-15 for Newcastle. Fulham are just 3 points above the relegation zone. Newcastle are just 2 points off a Conference League place.
Form guide Fulham: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Hull City (1-0). There was also a defeat against Crystal Palace (2-3). Against Manchester United (1-1) they could only draw. Fulham picked up 1 win from their last 4 home games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
Form guide Newcastle: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Newcastle recently played 2-0 at Crystal Palace, 1-4 at Coventry City and 1-4 at Leeds United. Record in the last 4 away games: 2 wins, no draws, 2 defeats, 6-8 goals. Newcastle scored in every one of those games.
Fulham at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Newcastle away, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Fulham, 1 win for Newcastle, 0 draws. There were 2.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-0 (Fulham vs Newcastle, 24/05/2026).
- 24/05/2026 Fulham – Newcastle 2-0
- 25/10/2025 Newcastle – Fulham 2-1
Injuries and suspensions
Fulham are without: Josh King (groin injury, 75% chance of playing), Tom Cairney (knee injury).
Newcastle are without: Tino Livramento (knee injury), Jacob Ramsey (suspended), William Osula (foot injury), Joelinton (injury), Ewen Jaouen (thigh injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Premier League: Premier League goalscorer tips.
Premier League table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hull | 9 | 11-10 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 9-8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 12-15 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 14-18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 9-11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 10 | 10-19 | 9 |
| 17 | Man United | 9 | 10-15 | 7 |
Fulham vs Newcastle odds
Fulham go in as favourites: the home win is priced at 1.95, a draw 3.80 and a Newcastle win 3.20. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.60.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham to win | 1.95 | 47% | 45% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24% | 24% |
| Newcastle to win | 3.20 | 29% | 31% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.32 | 71% | 69% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.65 | 53% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 80% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 58% | 60% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 42% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 36% | 37% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.45 | 64% | 63% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Fulham vs Newcastle
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.45. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 63%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Only 2 of Fulham’s last 4 home games had three or more goals.
- Only 2 of Newcastle’s last 4 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.45 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Fulham vs Newcastle
When do Fulham play Newcastle?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 16:00 (Premier League).
Who are the favourites in Fulham vs Newcastle?
Fulham are favourites: a home win pays 1.95, a Newcastle win 3.20.
What is the tip for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.45. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Fulham and Newcastle go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Fulham, 1 win for Newcastle, 0 draws. There were 2.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-0 (Fulham vs Newcastle, 24/05/2026).
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