Championship · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 16:00
Preston North End vs Southampton Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Preston North End · Southampton
Full time 1-0 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 16:00), Preston North End host Southampton.
The situation: Preston North End have gone 8 games without a win – Southampton sit top of the table
After 14 games, Preston North End are in position 24 with 5 points. Southampton have collected 28 points and sit in position 1. Goal difference: 12-30 for Preston North End, 29-14 for Southampton. Preston North End are currently in the relegation zone. Southampton are just one point off a promotion place.
Form guide Preston North End: Home form is a problem
Recent home defeats came against Sheffield United (2-3) and Millwall (0-1). Against West Bromwich Albion (1-1) they could only draw. Preston North End picked up 1 win from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
Form guide Southampton: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Southampton recently played 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion, 3-2 at West Ham United and 1-0 at Norwich City. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat, 7-6 goals. Southampton scored in every one of those games.
Preston North End at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Southampton away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Preston North End, 1 win for Southampton, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-3 (Preston vs Southampton, 02/05/2026).
- 02/05/2026 Preston – Southampton 1-3
- 01/11/2025 Southampton – Preston 0-2
Injuries and suspensions
Preston North End are without: Harry Clarke (injury), Ali McCann (injury), Liam Gibbs (muscle injury), Alistair McCann (injury).
Southampton are without: Mads Roerslev (knee injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Championship: Championship goalscorer tips.
Championship table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 14 | 29-14 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 30-19 | 28 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 14 | 25-17 | 27 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 18-26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County | 15 | 14-30 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End | 14 | 12-30 | 5 |
Preston North End vs Southampton odds
Southampton are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.70, a draw 3.60, a home win 4.30. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.50.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston North End to win | 4.30 | 21% | 25% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25% | 25% |
| Southampton to win | 1.70 | 54% | 50% |
| Double chance 1X | 2.35 | 46% | 50% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.07 | 79% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 81% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 61% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 39% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 41% | 37% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.55 | 59% | 63% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Preston North End vs Southampton
In short: We are backing Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.55. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 63%, while the odds imply only 59%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 2 of Preston North End’s last 5 home games had three or more goals.
- Only 2 of Southampton’s last 5 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.55 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Preston North End vs Southampton
When do Preston North End play Southampton?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 16:00 (Championship).
Who are the favourites in Preston North End vs Southampton?
Southampton are favourites: an away win pays 1.70, a home win 4.30.
What is the tip for Preston North End vs Southampton?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.55. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Preston North End and Southampton go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Preston North End, 1 win for Southampton, 0 draws. There were 3.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 1-3 (Preston vs Southampton, 02/05/2026).
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