Brasileirão Série A · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 00:00
Vitoria vs Fluminense Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Vitoria · Fluminense
Full time 0-3 · Tip “Double chance 1X” lost
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 00:00), Vitoria face Fluminense in front of their own fans.
The situation: Vitoria have gone 5 games without a win – Fluminense are playing out the season
After 34 games, Vitoria are in position 16 with 38 points. Fluminense have collected 57 points and sit in position 4. Goal difference: 35-51 for Vitoria, 55-42 for Fluminense. Vitoria are just one point above the relegation zone. Fluminense have nothing left to play for in the table.
Form guide Vitoria: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Chapecoense (4-0). There was also a defeat against Fluminense (0-3). Against Athletico-PR (1-1) they could only draw. Vitoria picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
Form guide Fluminense: Inconsistent on the road
On the road, Fluminense recently played 3-0 at Vitoria, 1-2 at Chapecoense-SC and 0-1 at Flamengo. Record in the last 5 away games: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats, 8-7 goals. Fluminense scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Vitoria at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Fluminense away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Plenty of draws
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Vitoria, 1 win for Fluminense, 1 draw. There were 3.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-3 (Vitoria vs Fluminense, 06/11/2026).
- 06/11/2026 Vitoria – Fluminense 0-3
- 09/05/2026 Fluminense – Vitoria 2-2
Injuries and suspensions
Vitoria are without: Ramon (leg injury), Fabiano (knee injury), Nathan Mendes (knee injury), Edu Ribeiro (Achilles tendon injury), Dudu (back problems).
Fluminense are without: Martinelli (knee injury), John Kennedy (cruciate ligament injury), Julián Millán (thigh injury), Alisson (hip injury), Matheus Reis (knee injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Brasileirão Série A table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62-23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55-48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55-42 | 57 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 34 | 51-43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50-45 | 53 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39-48 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 34 | 38-42 | 38 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 34 | 35-51 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36-42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38-47 | 37 |
Vitoria vs Fluminense odds
The bookmakers expect a close game. Home win 2.80, draw 3.10 and a Fluminense win 2.35. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.00.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria to win | 2.80 | 32% | 36% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29% | 28% |
| Fluminense to win | 2.35 | 39% | 36% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.50 | 61% | 64% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.42 | 68% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 69% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 22% | 23% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.17 | 78% | 77% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Vitoria vs Fluminense
In short: Our tip is Double chance 1X at odds of 1.50. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 64%, while the odds imply only 61%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Fluminense lost 3 of their last 5 away games.
Against
- Fluminense won 2 of their last 5 away games.
- Vitoria have already lost 2 times at home in their last 5 games.
- The head-to-head tends to favour Fluminense (1-0 in wins).
Tip: Double chance 1X · Odds 1.50 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Vitoria vs Fluminense
When do Vitoria play Fluminense?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 00:00 (Brasileirão Série A).
Who are the favourites in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Fluminense are favourites: an away win pays 2.35, a home win 2.80.
What is the tip for Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Our tip is Double chance 1X at odds of 1.50. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Vitoria and Fluminense go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: no wins for Vitoria, 1 win for Fluminense, 1 draw. There were 3.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-3 (Vitoria vs Fluminense, 06/11/2026).
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