Sunday, 8 November 2026
Over 2.5 goals today: the highest-scoring matches
These matches today and tomorrow are the most likely to produce three or more goals. The probability combines our statistical model with the odds minus the bookmaker margin, sorted from top to bottom.
12 matches from 10 leagues
| Kick-off | Match | League | Prob. | Odds | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 21:00 | Atlético Madrid – BarcelonaLaLiga | LaLiga | 71 % | 1.30 | Analysis → |
| Sun 21:30 | Estrela Amadora – BenficaPrimeira Liga | Primeira Liga | 69 % | 1.33 | Analysis → |
| Sun 20:15 | Lech Poznań – Zagłębie LubinEkstraklasa | Ekstraklasa | 63 % | 1.45 | Analysis → |
| Sun 23:15 | Goias – Ponte PretaBrazilian Série B | Brazilian Série B | 60 % | 1.32 | Analysis → |
| Sun 20:45 | Lens – MarseilleLigue 1 | Ligue 1 | 59 % | 1.60 | Analysis → |
| Sun 21:30 | Rio Ave – BragaPrimeira Liga | Primeira Liga | 58 % | 1.62 | Analysis → |
| Mon 18:00 | Köln – LeipzigWomen's Bundesliga | Women's Bundesliga | 58 % | 1.55 | Analysis → |
| Mon 03:10 | León – GuadalajaraLiga MX | Liga MX | 55 % | 1.60 | Analysis → |
| Mon 01:00 | Querétaro – PueblaLiga MX | Liga MX | 53 % | 1.65 | Analysis → |
| Sun 20:45 | Fiorentina – JuventusSerie A | Serie A | 53 % | 1.80 | Analysis → |
| Mon 19:00 | Botoșani – Oțelul GalațiLiga I | Liga I | 53 % | 1.72 | Analysis → |
| Mon 20:30 | Sabadell – Real Sociedad BLaLiga2 | LaLiga2 | 51 % | 1.90 | Analysis → |
Probability: odds minus bookmaker margin combined with our statistical model (model only if no odds). Odds from the last update; they may change before kick-off. 18+ · not betting advice · gambling can be addictive, help: gamblingtherapy.org
Top of the list is Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona (LaLiga) at 71% with odds of 1.30. Each row links to the full analysis with form, table, head-to-head and absences.
FAQ: Over 2.5 goals
When does a bet on over 2.5 goals win?
If at least three goals are scored in total, regardless of which team scores them. Regular time including stoppage time counts.
How is the probability in the list calculated?
40% from our Poisson model (goals scored and conceded this season, home and away separately) and 60% from the odds without margin.
What do the odds tell you?
Odds of 1.80 correspond to roughly 56% probability including margin. If our estimate is clearly higher, the odds are comparatively generous.
Both teams to score today · Under 2.5 goals today · Favourites today · All markets · Odds today