Scottish Premiership · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 16:00
Dundee United vs Motherwell Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Dundee United · Motherwell
Full time 1-1 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 16:00), Dundee United face Motherwell in front of their own fans.
The situation: Dundee United want to stay near the top – Motherwell are stuck in mid-table
Dundee United are in position 6 with 16 points, Motherwell follow in position 9 with 12 points. Goal difference: 16-16 for Dundee United, 14-20 for Motherwell. Dundee United occupy a top half place, but with no cushion at all. Motherwell are just 2 points clear of play-off.
Form guide Dundee United: Inconsistent at home
Recent home wins came against Aberdeen (3-2) and Hibernian (1-0). Against Falkirk (1-1) they could only draw. Dundee United picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide Motherwell: Winless on the road
On the road, Motherwell recently played 2-2 at St Johnstone, 2-3 at Kilmarnock and 1-2 at Dundee. Record in the last 5 away games: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats, 8-11 goals. Motherwell scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Dundee United at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Motherwell away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Motherwell struggle against Dundee United
Record in the last 4 meetings: no wins for Dundee United, 3 wins for Motherwell, 1 draw. There were only 1.8 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 3-0 (Motherwell vs Dundee United, 02/09/2026).
- 02/09/2026 Motherwell – Dundee United 3-0
- 28/02/2026 Motherwell – Dundee United 2-0
- 13/12/2025 Dundee United – Motherwell 0-0
- 29/10/2025 Motherwell – Dundee United 2-0
Injuries and suspensions
Dundee United are without: Will Ferry (muscle injury).
Motherwell are without: Paul McGinn (knee injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Scottish Premiership: Scottish Premiership goalscorer tips.
Scottish Premiership table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 15-12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 17-13 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 11 | 16-16 | 16 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 12 | 15-19 | 14 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 12 | 12-20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 14-20 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 12-14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 13-28 | 9 |
Dundee United vs Motherwell odds
Motherwell are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.70, a draw 4.00, a home win 3.80. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.45.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee United to win | 3.80 | 24% | 31% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23% | 23% |
| Motherwell to win | 1.70 | 53% | 46% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.20 | 47% | 54% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.77 | 76% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 82% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 63% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 37% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 41% | 39% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.55 | 59% | 61% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Dundee United vs Motherwell
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.55. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 61%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Only 1 of Dundee United’s last 5 home games had three or more goals.
- Head-to-head meetings have mostly been low-scoring (1 of 4 with three or more goals).
Against
- Away from home, Motherwell saw three or more goals in 4 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 6 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.55 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Dundee United vs Motherwell
When do Dundee United play Motherwell?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 16:00 (Scottish Premiership).
Who are the favourites in Dundee United vs Motherwell?
Motherwell are favourites: an away win pays 1.70, a home win 3.80.
What is the tip for Dundee United vs Motherwell?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.55. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Dundee United and Motherwell go?
Record in the last 4 meetings: no wins for Dundee United, 3 wins for Motherwell, 1 draw. There were only 1.8 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 3-0 (Motherwell vs Dundee United, 02/09/2026).
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